Which German coalitions are still viable after the 2021 elections?
After a razor-thin outcome in the exit polls revealed after the polls closed on Sunday, German lawmakers are still waiting for the vote count – but which coalitions are still possible?
The German election of 2021 is finished, but the ultimate result could be weeks or months away, according to estimates. The election is still too close to call, although a coalition appears to be inevitable. Forming a new coalition in Germany will be tight, with the center-left Social Democrats (SPD) and the center-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU)/Christian Social Union (CSU) polling within a percentage point of each other. If the exit polls are accurate, this website has looked into the conceivable coalition outcomes that are still on the table.
The SPD is expected to benefit from Germany’s aging population, according to the Forschunsgrupp Wahlen exit poll.
Support for the SPD was predicted to be at 35% among those aged 60 and older, up 11 percentage points from the previous election.
Since 2017, those under the age of 30 have increased their support for the Greens (up 11%) and the FDP (up 7%).
Today, the Greens received 22 percent of support from under 30s, compared to 20% for the FDP.
Surprisingly, although climbing four to five percent overall, the SPD is predicted to lose two percentage points among those under the age of 30 compared to the previous election.
In the aftermath of Germany’s vote day, two exit polls were released earlier today.
The first, from German network ARD, predicted that the SPD and the CDU/CSU would win 25.7 and 24.5 percent of the vote, respectively.
According to the poll, the Greens could get as much as 14.3 percent of the vote, while the far-right Alternative for Germany party (AfD) is expected to get 10.5 percent of the vote.
The FDP is expected to receive 11.5 percent of the vote, Die Linke 5%, and others 8.5 percent.
The SPD took a slight lead in the second poll, which was published by broadcaster ZDF, with 26 percent of the vote to the CDU/24 CSU’s percent.
The Greens are expected to gain 14.5 percent, the FDP 12 percent, and the AfD 10%.
Die Linke is anticipated to get 5% of the vote, while other parties are expected to get 8.5 percent.
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