Merkel is in a bind as the SPD surges ahead of the CDU in the latest polls in Germany.
Following Angela Merkel’s decision to step down in this election, Germany will shortly go to the polls to elect a new Chancellor. However, recent polls show that Ms Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is under stiff challenge from a rival party.
On September 26, 2021, the German federal election will be held. Members of the 20th Bundestag will be elected, but because Chancellor Angela Merkel is not standing, this election will be one of Germany’s most important in recent years.
Ms Merkel, a member of the Christian Democratic Union, has served as Germany’s Chancellor since 2005. (CDU).
Ms Merkel has led the CDU, which is affiliated with the Christian Social Union, a center-right Christian political party (CSU).
Currently, the CDU governs in coalition with the Social Democratic Party, a center-left party (SPD).
The CDU has also won four consecutive national elections under Ms Merkel’s leadership.
However, according to current election surveys, the SPD is gaining ground, which might make coalition formation after the election much more difficult.
For the first time in 15 years, a Forsa survey conducted for RTL/NTV found the SPD ahead of the CDU/CSU combination.
On 23 percent, the SPD was up two percentage points from the week before.
The CDU/CSU has fallen a point to 22%, while the Greens have also dropped a point to 18%.
A poll of 2,504 respondents about their political inclinations was conducted from August 17 to 23.
“What’s most noticeable here is the fragility of the CDU, rather than the relative triumph of the SPD,” Peter Matuschek, chief political analyst at polling firm Forsa, told the Financial Times.
“When you look at the numbers, 23 percent for SPD in prior elections would not have been a great result.”
If the SPD wins, it will be the SPD, not the CDU, who will lead Germany’s government.
According to Reuters, new surveys may also imply that the only viable coalitions would require three parties to work together rather than the existing two.
Following the election, the Green and Free Democrats parties may hold a substantial amount of power.
Other recent polling data suggests that the SPD is making progress in the run-up to the election.
As of August 31, the SPD had a 24 percent advantage in the Politico Poll of Polls.
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