Labour might LEAD in the polls by the end of the year, causing a shock in the UK election.
THE TORY PARTY has suffered a polling setback in recent weeks, with public opinion turning away from the current government. One recent example has demonstrated that Labour may be able to bridge the gap in the near future.
Boris Johnson and the Conservative Party swept to victory in the previous general election, obliterating Labour’s chances and capturing seats that had been held by the opposition for decades. However, popular opinion appears to be changing, and Sir Keir Starmer’s party could close the deficit before the end of the year.
Labour dominating the polls in 2021 has odds of 53.19 percent, according to Smarkets, a peer-to-peer betting service that monitors popular sentiment.
Only 14.29% say Labour has no chance of winning the election before 2023.
“The world of politics can be highly volatile,” said Patrick Flynn, a political analyst at Smarkets.
“Less than three months ago, the Conservatives were extending their polling lead over Labour into double figures,” he continued. “However, a survey published this week finds the Prime Minister down 36 points among Tory members, and the Conservative poll lead over Labour has fallen to an average of around seven points, with Labour on track to lead an opinion poll by the end of the year.”
According to the latest YouGov Westminster voting intention poll, the Conservatives have 39 percent of the vote, while Labour has 34 percent.
When compared to the results of the 2019 general election, which saw the Conservatives win 43 percent of the vote and Labour get 32, it’s evident that the Conservatives’ comfortable lead is eroding.
Another dismal poll for the current government comes from YouGov, this time for The Times, showing Tory support eroding in ‘Blue Wall’ stronghold seats in the southeast and east of England.
According to the study, the Conservatives’ approval rating in these Blue Wall seats has dropped eight points, and the party could lose up to 17 seats in the next general election.
The current vote intention in these constituencies is 44 percent for the Conservatives, 24 percent for Labour, 18 percent for the Liberal Democrats, 9% for the Greens, and 6% for other parties, according to the results.
This is a shift of -8 points for the Conservatives from their performance in these constituencies in 2019, and a stunning six-point increase for Labour. “Brinkwire News in Condensed Form.”