By Shreyashi Sanyal
Aug 7 – Emerging market stocks fell on Friday, after U.S. President Donald Trump issued bans on popular Chinese apps, further escalating tensions with Beijing, while the Turkish lira hit a fresh record low in a new phase of high volatility trading.
The Trump administration unveiled bans on U.S. transactions with China’s ByteDance, owner of video-sharing app TikTok, and Tencent, operator of messenger app WeChat, which go into effect in 45 days.
“Asian technology names have been specifically hit overnight by the signing of executive orders against not just TikTok but also Tencent’s WeChat and this is generally overhanging global markets,” said Chris Bailey, European strategist at Raymond James.
China and Hong Kong shares led declines during Asia trade, while major European bourses opened weaker. The MSCI’s index for emerging market stocks fell 0.9%, set to snap a three-day winning streak, with South African stocks retreating from a recent run of gains.
Developing world stocks were set to end the week higher as investors remained hopeful of more stimulus for the U.S. economy, while also enjoying a recent surge in commodity prices.
Currencies, however, tracked weekly declines as the dollar found footing in slightly improving U.S. economic data, with markets now awaiting a monthly jobs report later in the day.
Turkey’s lira hit a record low of 7.32 against the dollar after losing nearly 19% against the greenback so far this year, with growing concern that state efforts to stabilize the currency could fizzle and spark bigger problems for the Middle East’s largest economy.
“Such a breakout indicates that whatever intervention mechanism had kept the exchange rate flat has failed,” said Tatha Ghose, forex and emerging markets analyst at Commerzbank.
The country’s central bank has started lifting some funding costs and analysts said it could go further on Friday, tightening such backdoor policy tools to head off more lira weakness.
“The various capital controls and restrictions, which Turkish policymakers were using, obviously no longer suffice to keep the lira stable … only a qualitative turnaround in CBT’s monetary policy regime can stabilise the exchange rate in the medium-term,” Ghose added.
The high-yielding South African rand traded 1% weaker, near its lowest in 10 weeks, while Russia’s rouble edged lower.
Most currencies in central and eastern Europe were rangebound against the euro, with the Czech crown retreating from multi-month highs a day after the country’s central bank held interest rates steady and signalled stability at least until mid-2021.
For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance in 2020, see http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance in 2020, see https://tmsnrt.rs/2OusNdX
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For RUSSIAN market report, see (Reporting by Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Giles Elgood)