Election polling in Germany: Is it too close to call? Ahead of tomorrow’s election, the most recent polls have been released.
GERMANS will vote in a new parliament tomorrow, but which party is expected to win? The most recent polls on the German elections are listed here. The German elections are approaching, and exit polls appear to be closer than ever. These elections will be historic for Germany because Angela Merkel, who has dominated European politics for the past 16 years, will be stepping down as chancellor. But it’s uncertain who will succeed her.
Unlike in the United Kingdom, where an outright majority is generally achieved, the German parliament is normally composed of two or three coalition parties.
In its elections, Germany uses a mixed-member proportional representation system.
To ensure that the makeup of its parliament reflects the national popular vote, it blends first-past-the-post elected seats with a proportional party list.
Following the elections on September 26, discussions with the winning party and other smaller parties will take place in order to build an overall majority.
The CDU, which is led by Angela Merkel, is the current majority party.
The most likely outcome appeared to be a two-party coalition between the conservative CDU and the German Greens.
However, the SPD, a left-wing party, has recently gained traction.
Olaf Scholz, the SPD’s leader, triumphed in the most recent televised debates, boosting his party’s popularity.
Armin Laschet, Angela Merkel’s replacement, hasn’t fared so well.
Mr Scholz’s party enjoys a tiny advantage in the polls in recent weeks.
According to the most recent surveys conducted by wahlrecht.de, SPD is expected to receive 23% of the vote.
CDU/CSU came in second with 15%, followed by the Greens with 17%.
Other smaller parties that could be used to create a coalition have performed well.
The FDP is likely to receive 8% of the vote, the AfD 11%, and Linke 14%.
If the recent polls are correct, the CDU will take a significant step backwards.
Since February of this year, the party’s popularity has been declining.
When Armin Laschet was chosen as a candidate to succeed Angela Merkel in April, the stock sank even more.
Because German federal elections are proportional, the vote share reported by pollsters should be interpreted as roughly corresponding to the share of seats in the following parliament.
Parties that receive less than 5% of the vote are referred to as “Brinkwire Summary News.”