China The Taiwanese crisis is intensifying; will there be a war? Expert opinion.


TENSIONS between China and Taiwan are mounting, with China continually appearing to push boundaries. But could there be an all-out invasion? One expert gives their analysis.

China’s military announced they had carried out assault drills and beach landing directly opposite Taiwan on Monday, with tensions growing between the two territories. China has long claimed Taiwan as its own territory but has received push-back from the democratically ruled island. Now Beijing appears to be increasing its military action both by air and sea.

On its Weibo blog, the official People’s Liberation Army Daily newspaper said the drills had been carried out “in recent days” in the southern part of Fujian province.

The action had involved “shock” troops, sappers and boat specialists, the Chinese military newspaper added.

They detailed how troops were “divided into multiple waves to grab the beach and perform combat tasks at different stages”, it added, without providing further details.

The newspaper also released a video of soldiers in boats then storming a beach.

They could be seen throwing smoke grenades, breaking through barbed wire defences and digging trenches in the sand.

China often carries out military exercises up and down its coast as well as in the disputed South China Sea.

Recent concerns have mounted over increased aircraft activity in Taiwan airspace, with the largest mission ever from China seeing 52 aircraft – including 36 fighter jets, 12 H-6 bombers, two Y-8 anti-submarine warfare aircraft and two Su-30s – taking place last week.

Taiwan has denounced what it calls China’s coercive tactics against it and says it will defend itself if attacked.

But with tensions mounting, could we see a full-scale invasion in the coming months?

On Saturday, China’s President Xi Jinping promised: “The historical task of the complete reunification of the motherland… will definitely be fulfilled.”

This was an outward threat against Taiwan, however, there was no timeframe outlined in his speech.

But Chinese state media – The Global Times – warned war “could be triggered at any time.”

Despite these threats, Barbara Kelemen, Associate and the lead intelligence analyst for Asia at security intelligence firm Dragonfly, told This website some type of Chinese military action against Taiwan is becoming a realistic prospect, but a full-scale invasion is unlikely.


Ms Kelemen said: “Some type of Chinese military action against, or affecting, Taiwan is becoming a more realistic prospect, although still very unlikely.

“This. “Brinkwire Summary News”.


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