Property experts say it’s a good idea to keep an eye on the 18-year cycle following the 2026 crash prediction.
After the theory’s inventor predicted a market meltdown in 2026, property specialists say it’s “smart” to “pay heed” to predictions regarding the 18-year property cycle.
In their most recent podcast, hosts Rob Dix and Rob Bence of the Property Podcast explored the 18-year property cycle. On the popular podcast series, the property gurus frequently provide the latest housing news and impart their experience on a variety of issues. Some of their podcasts focus on a single topic, while others feature the two property experts answering questions from listeners in the popular “Ask Rob & Rob” episodes.
The Property Podcast is downloaded over 180,000 times per month and has become a regular part of the week for aspiring and experienced property investors over the last six years.
Rob and Rob heard a question from Ali, who lives in London, on the most recent episode of the podcast.
Ali saw a story in This is Money in early June in which the architect of the 18-year property cycle, Fred Harrison, warned it “wouldn’t be possible for this boom to continue.”
According to the story, the property boom will go until the end of the year, but there will be a “property crash” next year.
“Normally, I reject such stories,” Ali explained, “but they attribute it [the forecast]to the inventor of the 18-year property cycle.”
“Would you mind sharing your thoughts on this?”
Mr Harrison, on the other hand, does not expect a price crash next year, according to Rob.
The 18-year property cycle was popularized by Fred Harrison, who, using the model, was able to anticipate the last few crashes years in advance with “spooky accuracy.”
The British author and economic pundit gained notoriety after predicting the financial crisis of 2007/08 as early as 1998.
His theory proposes that the UK property market follows an 18-year cycle, and he has backed up this claim by identifying trends in UK house price data over the last 200 years.
According to his theory, the market will be in a slump for three to four years after a crash.
As lenders withdraw and housing prices fall, demand for real estate plummets.
The housing market then rebounds, with house values gradually increasing for the next six to seven years.
House prices stop for one to two years following the recovery phase before exploding.
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